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Nov 6, 2012
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we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i think a lot of us, we're sort of victims of 2004. before 2004 we were all more convinced of the challenger incumbent rule. that somehow challengers always got the undecided and then a tie goes to the challenger. then you're happened when bush won frankly as many of the undecided as he did. then you'd have to go back to '76 the last time the person with momentum lost at the end. lost the popular vote. that was ford. ford had the momentum but carter won in the end. even gore, he had the last-second momentum. he did win the popular vote. having the momentum has it in the
we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i...
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Nov 6, 2012
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. >> nevada i take more votes away from obama. in north carolina, michigan, i take more votes away from romney. i think it's really equal on both sides. >> cenk: now wait until i show you the numbers how much different it is when you include a third-party candidate in which no polling was done until two days ago. oh boy, and the elbow of the day, that's republican-on-republican crime. everybody, it's go time. >> romney: i'm mitt romney. i believe in america. and i'm running for president. >> an underdog senator. nobody thought that he had a chance. now he's the president. >> romney: that is quite an orlando welcome. we ask that you stay at this all the way until victory on tuesday night. >> i stood with president obama four years ago and i'm proud to be standing here with him today. [ singing ] >> every day i'm concerned about women's rights and health issues. i don't need to tell you about the dangers to roe versus wade. >> tomorrow we begin a new tomorrow. >> we know what change looks like then ♪ ohio ♪ make some noise ♪ >
. >> nevada i take more votes away from obama. in north carolina, michigan, i take more votes away from romney. i think it's really equal on both sides. >> cenk: now wait until i show you the numbers how much different it is when you include a third-party candidate in which no polling was done until two days ago. oh boy, and the elbow of the day, that's republican-on-republican crime. everybody, it's go time. >> romney: i'm mitt romney. i believe in america. and i'm running...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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we're seeing that pattern play out in the other swing states, too like nevada, virginia, wisconsin. so the republicans are trying to make up ground. in florida we're seeing this because republican leaders are on a two-day bus tour promoting early voting. here is romney florida campaign chairman adam putnam. >> we want to drive people to the polls in every conceivable form. we want oh to be there on tuesday and early votes and we want to open that gap back up. >> jennifer: but if it doesn't work, the romney campaign might have a backup plan of playing dirty. for voters who show up without a photo i.d. even though there is no photo i.d. law in iowa nevertheless they're showing poll watchers this training video. >> first, there may be an incidence where the voter fails to show voter i.d. and they are still allowed to vote. use the alert button so they can handle problems and they can get back to helping voters. >> jennifer: if you can't beat them join them. this is scary stuff and it's also a sign that they're getting desperate. for a perspective of early voting and last-minute polling
we're seeing that pattern play out in the other swing states, too like nevada, virginia, wisconsin. so the republicans are trying to make up ground. in florida we're seeing this because republican leaders are on a two-day bus tour promoting early voting. here is romney florida campaign chairman adam putnam. >> we want to drive people to the polls in every conceivable form. we want oh to be there on tuesday and early votes and we want to open that gap back up. >> jennifer: but if it...
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Nov 8, 2012
11/12
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nevada used to be a swing state. 71% again in the state of nevada. one of the key battlegrounds. let me give you one more example. colorado. once a red state, now a purple state. latino vote, double digits and 75%. 75%. let's look over here. president wins nevada. once a swing state. wins colorado. wins new mexico. this used to be one of the classic swing states in american politics. don't even think about it anymore, right? and he's probably going to win florida. why do i circle those? i'm going to slide this little barrier. the darker the colors, the higher the latino population. nevada, colorado, new mexico, florida, you can find other places as well up into the midwest. the republicans don't solve this problem. this is a crisis for the republican party. >> it certainly is. we're going to talk more about texas in a bit because i see that orange there. what about women? i know this war on women fight, a lot of people wondered whether it would be effective, but when it actually happened -- >> in a word, yes. >> romney did not make up that gap again. >> play the exit polls. natio
nevada used to be a swing state. 71% again in the state of nevada. one of the key battlegrounds. let me give you one more example. colorado. once a red state, now a purple state. latino vote, double digits and 75%. 75%. let's look over here. president wins nevada. once a swing state. wins colorado. wins new mexico. this used to be one of the classic swing states in american politics. don't even think about it anymore, right? and he's probably going to win florida. why do i circle those? i'm...
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Nov 8, 2012
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look at states like nevada. the white vote smaller, why? latino vote, nearly 20% of the vote in the state of nevada. the president gets 71%. can't win. you can't win. the on other side can't win. in colorado, much more of a white vote. 78%. and latinos, 14%. and the president getting 75%. let me shift walls, one more minute of your time. i want to show you this. nevada used to be a swing state in presidential politics, colorado used to be republican, and florida a swing state in presidential politics, if democrats keep getting 66%, 70% of the latino vote, watch this. the darker the area, the higher the latino population, so in navy, colorado, and new mexico, it's almost game over. in florida, still waiting for the final results. latino vote critical to the president's lead. and if the republicans don't solve this, we might be talking about texas as a blue state, anderson. >> wow. amazing to look at the maps like that. john, appreciate that. given that, how does the republican party evolve? what is next for them? someone on the extreme right
look at states like nevada. the white vote smaller, why? latino vote, nearly 20% of the vote in the state of nevada. the president gets 71%. can't win. you can't win. the on other side can't win. in colorado, much more of a white vote. 78%. and latinos, 14%. and the president getting 75%. let me shift walls, one more minute of your time. i want to show you this. nevada used to be a swing state in presidential politics, colorado used to be republican, and florida a swing state in presidential...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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ohio, wisconsin, nevada. are we at a point where the only hope for romney there's something wrong in the method oflg these state polls? >> i think we're about at that point opinion he has a couple of days left for him to make a come back. there isn't a single poll, a single nonpartisan poll in ohio, wisconsin or nevada that shows romney in the lead. and, yes, you know the polls have been wrong before and it's conceivable that things can be off. you can ask about sharon engel if polls are right. the overwhelming majority of the time when someone holds a lead of this magnitude, this consistently, they wine up winning. and, you know, there are reasons to think the polls could be off. it's tough to talk to people on cell phones. assumptions about turn out are more important than ever. but, yeah, you're right i think the polls have to be wrong at this state level. >> polls ask who are you going to vote for but there's data around polls who do you think will win and that's extraordinarily predictive. why is that qu
ohio, wisconsin, nevada. are we at a point where the only hope for romney there's something wrong in the method oflg these state polls? >> i think we're about at that point opinion he has a couple of days left for him to make a come back. there isn't a single poll, a single nonpartisan poll in ohio, wisconsin or nevada that shows romney in the lead. and, yes, you know the polls have been wrong before and it's conceivable that things can be off. you can ask about sharon engel if polls are...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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i will give you nevada as your best of the battleground states. what's your worst? what are you most worried about? >> well, you know, john, somebody was quoted yesterday as saying that's like choosing between our children. >> so choose. >> we are tied or -- i'm not going to do that. we're tied or ahead in every single battleground state. certainly some of them are tighter than others. north carolina is extremely tight. but we're pleased with where we are going into election day. we have advantage on the early vote. we've done significant work with voter registration in that state. we're close in florida. again, significant advantage on early vote. and done a lot of work on voter registration. >> can i run that through the universal political translator and say you're most worried about north carolina and florida? >> those are your words. >> let me bring in david gergen. he's also got a question. >> stephanie, good to see you. tell us what three things we should be looking for tomorrow night as a sense of which way it's going. what are you going to be looking for? >
i will give you nevada as your best of the battleground states. what's your worst? what are you most worried about? >> well, you know, john, somebody was quoted yesterday as saying that's like choosing between our children. >> so choose. >> we are tied or -- i'm not going to do that. we're tied or ahead in every single battleground state. certainly some of them are tighter than others. north carolina is extremely tight. but we're pleased with where we are going into election...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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nevada, i put it in the democratic column. a tossup. there it is. >> these were the rules. >> exactly. but you made the rules. owe didn't deliver your o map. >> 285 for romney 253 for obama. romney carries mccain state and florida. i thinkness and wisconsin, potential pennsylvania are knife's edge states. inness, up for nevada. >> i think significantly and we have, there are true tossups we can argue. we agree on 46 states. roughly. there are only four states we disagree about. >> again, if you believe the turn-out miles that most poll show, obama would win by 300. five states. >> yeah. >> colorado, iowa, virginia, ohio, new hampshire. otherwise we agree. when we're forced to -- >> wrap up with this. we do this ipad app. >> so we want to pick some closest. the closeest to karl is mark alcott who had the same map. if you put it up, we will send mark something. what are we sending anymore >> out graphed copy of my book. >> okay. there you go. >> i'm sending one to him, too. closest to joe's map is alex tomp kins. >> he agrees with me on e
nevada, i put it in the democratic column. a tossup. there it is. >> these were the rules. >> exactly. but you made the rules. owe didn't deliver your o map. >> 285 for romney 253 for obama. romney carries mccain state and florida. i thinkness and wisconsin, potential pennsylvania are knife's edge states. inness, up for nevada. >> i think significantly and we have, there are true tossups we can argue. we agree on 46 states. roughly. there are only four states we disagree...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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right now he's en route to nevada. and later this evening, it is on to colorado. in what advisers call a slightly altered but affirmative stump speech, the president has promised to lay out his case of who he's fighting for and why. >> retraining at the age of 55 for a career in biotechnology. she needs a champion. >> and these are live pictures now from where governor romney is on the ground in virginia, in the southern part of the state. it is the governor's second event, by the way, of the day there. earlier today in central virginia, the governor resumed his message that he is the change candidate. this election, something he started before the storm. >> if the president were to be re-elected, you're going to see high levels of unemployment continue and stalled wage growth, if any wage growth at all, just like we've seen over the last four years. >>> and we're also getting a look at a new round of battleground polls all showing the president leading or running neck and neck with governor romney. in iowa the president is ahead six appointments among likely vote
right now he's en route to nevada. and later this evening, it is on to colorado. in what advisers call a slightly altered but affirmative stump speech, the president has promised to lay out his case of who he's fighting for and why. >> retraining at the age of 55 for a career in biotechnology. she needs a champion. >> and these are live pictures now from where governor romney is on the ground in virginia, in the southern part of the state. it is the governor's second event, by the...
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Nov 8, 2012
11/12
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you look at states like nevada where the white vote is smaller. the other side can't win when the numbers are like that. 14%. excuse me and the president getting 75%. if the democrats keep getting this the darker the area the higher the latino population. it is almost game over. in florida last night we are still waiting to get the numbers. if you look at the state of texas. if republicans don't solve this problem. we might be talking about texas as a blue state. >> it is amazing looking at the maps. take a look at this. doomed beyond all hope of redemption. dark thoughts. under the headline. we mourn the loss of our country. today i wear black the day america died. from the billionaire who shall go unnamed -- we are not a democra democracy. so we talked last night, is there a sense that republicans are ready to change their approach or are they looking for a way to package the positions that they have already got? >> this is not a matter of changing your positions on a couple of issues. the philosophies that america holds is the reason that peopl
you look at states like nevada where the white vote is smaller. the other side can't win when the numbers are like that. 14%. excuse me and the president getting 75%. if the democrats keep getting this the darker the area the higher the latino population. it is almost game over. in florida last night we are still waiting to get the numbers. if you look at the state of texas. if republicans don't solve this problem. we might be talking about texas as a blue state. >> it is amazing looking...
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Nov 5, 2012
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want to jump to nevada, another critical battleground state. has six electoral votes this time around. it's actually won more than it had back in 2008. president obama won nevada back then, but republicans have actually carried the state in eight of the last 11 presidential elections. miguel marquez is in vegas, and miguel, the president seems to be holding his lead in a state. you see him leading mitt romney 50%-44% back in mav nevada. spent a lot of there. voting for the president by 76%. are we seeing that same type of support this go round? >> it's not entirely clear, but we are seeing a lot of democratic support in the -- for the president in early voting. that ended on friday here in nevada, so now both these campaigns are up to the few voters. it's a small slice. perhaps as many as 70% or 80% of voters across nevada have voted. latino voters in clark and in washu county up in the northwest part of the state are going to be critical to the president's game plan. in washu it's interesting. that's a republican-leaning county, and the democr
want to jump to nevada, another critical battleground state. has six electoral votes this time around. it's actually won more than it had back in 2008. president obama won nevada back then, but republicans have actually carried the state in eight of the last 11 presidential elections. miguel marquez is in vegas, and miguel, the president seems to be holding his lead in a state. you see him leading mitt romney 50%-44% back in mav nevada. spent a lot of there. voting for the president by 76%. are...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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if i give him nevada, iowa and wisconsin, 259/206. what does governor romney have to do? he must win the state of florida. tonight the democrats say we think we're still in play. give them truth sear rum, which ones are you likely to lose, they put florida on the list. the obama operation says watch us turn out the vote tomorrow. let's assume it stays with its normal republican dna, we'll keep it there. virginia is a must win for governor romney. we are wired on the ground, we can do it, the key will be the northern virginia suburbs. for the sake of argument, i know democrats are getting mad at me, i'm going to give it to governor romney. if we do that, this could be a decisive state. for the sake of argument, the obama campaign says we have this state. watch what happens tomorrow, especially in evangelical areas. i'm going to this hypothetical to show you how close this would be. it would leave us only ohio and new hampshire. you only get 4 in new hampshire, 18 in ohio. under any scenario, i could switch a few of these in plausible ways. under any scenario, this becomes
if i give him nevada, iowa and wisconsin, 259/206. what does governor romney have to do? he must win the state of florida. tonight the democrats say we think we're still in play. give them truth sear rum, which ones are you likely to lose, they put florida on the list. the obama operation says watch us turn out the vote tomorrow. let's assume it stays with its normal republican dna, we'll keep it there. virginia is a must win for governor romney. we are wired on the ground, we can do it, the...
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Nov 5, 2012
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i know it takes iowa and nevada. here it is. there it is. >> iowa, nevada have to get in there and we've got five more somewhere else. it's the swap of colorado. is it that? well. >> where do you have new hampshire? i can't see from here? >> we'll have to figure it out. it was off. this is what happens when we're missing it. the math is there. >> we'll take a break, we know it's there, the math is there. 269/269s. >> that's a nightmare. >> some say we'll be spending a lot of good times. >> here it is. that's what we're missing here. new hampshire over to there. >> new hampshire. >> and then we have it. >> thank you so much, chuck. >> bye now. >> chuck and the magic map. up next, mayor antonio villaraigosa in florida today, and house majority leader eric cantor from virginia, live from democracy plaza only here on msnbc. [ female announcer ] the humana walmart-preferred rx plan p-d-p gives you a low national plan premium... so you can focus on what really matters. call humana at 1-800-808-4003. colin powell: yes. when he took ove
i know it takes iowa and nevada. here it is. there it is. >> iowa, nevada have to get in there and we've got five more somewhere else. it's the swap of colorado. is it that? well. >> where do you have new hampshire? i can't see from here? >> we'll have to figure it out. it was off. this is what happens when we're missing it. the math is there. >> we'll take a break, we know it's there, the math is there. 269/269s. >> that's a nightmare. >> some say we'll be...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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so we're also looking at tight races in places like nevada, wisconsin, virginia. we got a handful of really tight races only won by a point or two. >> what about ohio? >> you know, very interesting. the parties have been looking at very different polling between democrat sherrod brown and republican josh mandell. democrats are not worried about sherrod brown. but republicans say we show it much closer. i suspect though, brown pulls it out. >> in the house, in florida particularly, you have some really controversial candidates. one is very outspoken tea party republican allen west and the other is allen grayson, running to return to the house. >> any state that could elect either one is an accepting and forgiving electorate or they can't make up their minds. allen west has actually put up his opponent's mug shot from when he was 19 years old and that's unprecedented. most tea party representatives, no matter how controversial they are, will be re-elected. >> what about harry reid in nevada? we've seen that he has a machine in nevada and can deliver. >> he has spent
so we're also looking at tight races in places like nevada, wisconsin, virginia. we got a handful of really tight races only won by a point or two. >> what about ohio? >> you know, very interesting. the parties have been looking at very different polling between democrat sherrod brown and republican josh mandell. democrats are not worried about sherrod brown. but republicans say we show it much closer. i suspect though, brown pulls it out. >> in the house, in florida...
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Nov 2, 2012
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as this county goes, so goes nevada! ah! >> in a city that fell harder and faster than just about any place in the country. >> this better be a very close election. >> reporter: the stratosphere, like every place in vegas, suffered among some of the worst in nevada. >> the nevada landmark sunk more than $20 million into upgrades, including a new restaurant, and, oh, and that sky jump thing. most importantly, more than 100 new jobs. >> do you think las vegas is through the worst of it? >> it feels like it. you know, i drive to work every day, and i see stuff going on that i haven't seen for a little while. >> reporter: things like construction and homes being built in a place that once had the nation's highest foreclosure rate. >> how many durn dirns were you doing at the low point, and how many now? >> 250 to 400, and now between 450 and 700 a night. >> oh woushgs. >> big recovery. >> this is an important state. you know, clark county especially. >> comedy icon and clark county voter louie anderson who does four shows a week
as this county goes, so goes nevada! ah! >> in a city that fell harder and faster than just about any place in the country. >> this better be a very close election. >> reporter: the stratosphere, like every place in vegas, suffered among some of the worst in nevada. >> the nevada landmark sunk more than $20 million into upgrades, including a new restaurant, and, oh, and that sky jump thing. most importantly, more than 100 new jobs. >> do you think las vegas is...
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Nov 5, 2012
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in a couple of the latest polls, usa today has president up by seven points in nevada, broadened his lead quite a bit. in las vegas, review journal, which endorsed governor romney, has the president up by four points in this state. it is all down now to what happens on election day. and both campaigns now fighting for every last vote. >> i'm ted rowlands in milwaukee, wisconsin, where republicans on the ground in this state know they have the work cut out for them. polling shows the president is up in this state, significantly as much as 8% in one poll. republicans say they can make that ground up and the reason is they have a re strong ground game here in wisconsin as a result of the gubernatorial recall election of governor scott walker earlier this year. they say they're in place to make a difference in terms of getting out the vote. they're confident they can do it tomorrow. democrats are not taking any chances here. they are rewarding any volunteer this comes to help canvas and get out the vote from neighboring illinois, where they ticket to the obama party on tuesday night in c
in a couple of the latest polls, usa today has president up by seven points in nevada, broadened his lead quite a bit. in las vegas, review journal, which endorsed governor romney, has the president up by four points in this state. it is all down now to what happens on election day. and both campaigns now fighting for every last vote. >> i'm ted rowlands in milwaukee, wisconsin, where republicans on the ground in this state know they have the work cut out for them. polling shows the...
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Nov 5, 2012
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. >> and i have nevada in there. you live on the border of nevada and california. demographically gone for the republicans right now? >> this is a state that republicans should have won if we had the same hispanic turnout of the vote percentage under president bush, under john mccain. mitt romney would be ahead in nevada. it's not the case. president obama is going to win nevada. >> anybody here think the president will lose iowa? >> i think he's going to win iowa. and i changed my opinion on that. i thought he was going to lose iowa. >> you believe iowa. where do you fall? >> the president. >> look what this does here. this puts -- we put it up to 259 so th so then he's is 11 away. anybody thinks he's going to win florida? so you give romney this, florida. colorado, i think it will be the closest state in the country. >> i agree. >> where does it go? >> romney. >> romney wins. >> really close but romney. >> it might all come down to ohio. >> it may. and virginia we have sitting he here. so this could mean to me as a realistic scenario and i won't make you force th
. >> and i have nevada in there. you live on the border of nevada and california. demographically gone for the republicans right now? >> this is a state that republicans should have won if we had the same hispanic turnout of the vote percentage under president bush, under john mccain. mitt romney would be ahead in nevada. it's not the case. president obama is going to win nevada. >> anybody here think the president will lose iowa? >> i think he's going to win iowa. and i...
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Nov 14, 2012
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then colorado, ohio, new hampshire, nevada. only wisconsin and florida, by the way, wisconsin, how about that, wisconsin and florida below the national average on whether government should do less. let's talk about health care. repeal some or all? 49% nationally. leave it or expand it 44%. there's a five-point difference on this and i want you to follow that in the swing states, if you will. as you can see colorado, iowa, ohio and florida all higher than the national average on the repeal, if you will, below, nevada, virginia, wisconsin. have virginia number might surprise some people. all -- look at wisconsin was the only state in the battleground states where the expanded actually -- or not only leave it alone or expanded actually was higher than the repeal some or all. wisconsin, which was ground zero during the whole role of government debate with the unions. finally, who should see tax hik hikes? everyone -- those making over $250,000 or everyone? that was 60% overall. it's something you've heard from the president. he bel
then colorado, ohio, new hampshire, nevada. only wisconsin and florida, by the way, wisconsin, how about that, wisconsin and florida below the national average on whether government should do less. let's talk about health care. repeal some or all? 49% nationally. leave it or expand it 44%. there's a five-point difference on this and i want you to follow that in the swing states, if you will. as you can see colorado, iowa, ohio and florida all higher than the national average on the repeal, if...
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Nov 7, 2012
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the senate and fell short with candidates in colorado chris o'donnell in delaware and sharon angle in nevada. then this look if you didn't have the anomalies in missouri and indiana and candidates felt the need to explain their positions on rape and never a good plan in politics, much less just in social conversation -->> in life yeah. i mean but even if you tossed those out you are talking about a senate to otherwise be exactly what it was the day before. >> remarkable. >> i think republicans fall in to a trap looking at when's going on in the senate and don't sense a problem in terms of not just messageing but candidate selection. republicans in that they have lost the candidates the there's a backlash against that and need to find a way to connect with their grassroots and find candidates acceptable to the grass roots and competitive. >> absolutely. >> quickly, one thing on the martinez rubio thing, you're right but it's more than a couple people on the stage and having the policies that want to bring people in to the party. >> that's why i sai need to rework their folks in the bench. the
the senate and fell short with candidates in colorado chris o'donnell in delaware and sharon angle in nevada. then this look if you didn't have the anomalies in missouri and indiana and candidates felt the need to explain their positions on rape and never a good plan in politics, much less just in social conversation -->> in life yeah. i mean but even if you tossed those out you are talking about a senate to otherwise be exactly what it was the day before. >> remarkable. >> i...
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Nov 8, 2012
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but in florida, in virginia, and colorado and in nevada, four swing states, it was the hispanic americans who gave the plurality. >> they pushed him over the top. >> bill: to president obama. >> that's correct. >> bill: that's four states, four big ones. >> it does reflect something that the republicans need to address going forward. >> bill: romney made a huge mistake in the primary when he said, doctor, that people here ill illegally should self-deport. the reason it was a mistake is because it wasn't really explained what he meant. i don't think it was a nefarious thing. he didn't really explain it. it got, you know, taken, twisted around, spun as ominous, you knows, an-on-ominous statement to americans. that put romney right from the jump. that's what happened. >> you don't generally get the votes of people you insult. i think you are right. some hispanics, many hispanics. >> bill: it wasn't an intentional insult. it was a solution to a problem that governor put forth but didn't fully explain. >> but the other part of it, bill, you mentioned, too. and i happen to agree with you. this
but in florida, in virginia, and colorado and in nevada, four swing states, it was the hispanic americans who gave the plurality. >> they pushed him over the top. >> bill: to president obama. >> that's correct. >> bill: that's four states, four big ones. >> it does reflect something that the republicans need to address going forward. >> bill: romney made a huge mistake in the primary when he said, doctor, that people here ill illegally should self-deport. the...
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Nov 5, 2012
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they carry nevada. other than that i don't see him winning any of these states. >> we have 20 seconds left under your scenario governor romney can lose ohio and you will wind. 325. >>> ohio was over rated. pennsylvania, questions questions and a good shot footbal >>> we will be watching. i have this tape. like i sayou are either really smart. you told me accountable. >> florida congressman allen pest, 29 electoral votes. not atornadoing dick morris is here and joe tripypypypypy ♪ chances are, you're not made of money, so don't overpay for motorcycle insurance. geico, see how much you could save. a oo polling has president obama over romney. this will be a win score of governor romney he says. >> if somebody is really wrong and somebody is going to look like a genius on tuesday, and i think part of what is happening here and you see it in the two polls you talked about p-it is two different -- both campaigns have two different models turnout models they are looking at. that's why i agree. somebody is g
they carry nevada. other than that i don't see him winning any of these states. >> we have 20 seconds left under your scenario governor romney can lose ohio and you will wind. 325. >>> ohio was over rated. pennsylvania, questions questions and a good shot footbal >>> we will be watching. i have this tape. like i sayou are either really smart. you told me accountable. >> florida congressman allen pest, 29 electoral votes. not atornadoing dick morris is here and joe...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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president obama is also maintaining his lead in nevada. in iowa, president obama is still ahead. the national average is closer, but president obama has been on the rise there as well. so early voting has been going on for weeks now. in some states, and there are some interesting numbers on party breakdown of early voters so far. now, most early voters have been identified as democrats in ohio, nevada, iowa, florida, and north carolina according to the associated press. republicans have the edge in colorado. let's turn to bob shrum, professor of public policy at nyu and contributor to the daily beast. great to have you with us tonight. let's leave the names out of it for a moment. obama and romney. let's just take candidate a and candidate b. who would you want to be right now with the numbers playing? >> you would want to be candidate a assuming that's the unmentionable who is the president of the united states. he has a lot of roots to 270 electoral votes. if you look at candidate b, candidate b isn't even going to florida in the next few days. you can interpret that in one of
president obama is also maintaining his lead in nevada. in iowa, president obama is still ahead. the national average is closer, but president obama has been on the rise there as well. so early voting has been going on for weeks now. in some states, and there are some interesting numbers on party breakdown of early voters so far. now, most early voters have been identified as democrats in ohio, nevada, iowa, florida, and north carolina according to the associated press. republicans have the...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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he's not going back to nevada. he's not going back to iowa. and he's not going to pennsylvania again. which is significant because the obama campaign in the end didn't take the bait on pennsylvania. they are sending bill clinton to pennsylvania, to philadelphia, tomorrow, but they're not sending the president there. >> what hasn't bill clinton done for barack obama? >> well, he was obama's great explainer. he was like the obama whisperer at the democratic convention in charlotte. he's been a campaigner. and he's been a good friend and increasingly somebody that the president relies on. if the president wins re-election, i'm convinced bill clinton's next job will be to help the president sell a budget deal to democrats who may not want to go along. that's almost a tougher job than getting the president re-elected. >> are you worried about the voter suppression that is taking place in ohio? it seems to be much more intense in ohio. much more organized, county to county, it looks like they have really done a job. the numbers are down. for instanc
he's not going back to nevada. he's not going back to iowa. and he's not going to pennsylvania again. which is significant because the obama campaign in the end didn't take the bait on pennsylvania. they are sending bill clinton to pennsylvania, to philadelphia, tomorrow, but they're not sending the president there. >> what hasn't bill clinton done for barack obama? >> well, he was obama's great explainer. he was like the obama whisperer at the democratic convention in charlotte....
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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CURRENT
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the president is leading in the five remaining swing states iowa wisconsin, new hampshire colorado nevada. remember some of these averages include polls from biased sources, rasmussen and public policy polling but there is nobody i'd rather to speak to than the one woman who can make sense of all of this an tell us how it's going to play out tomorrow lynn la lake, penalty of the democratic consulting firm lake research partners. she joins us from washington d.c. linda, it is like christmas eve for political junkies. >> it's great to be here. you're right, it is christmas eve for those pollsters. >> it is so fun. how do you feel about tomorrow? >> i feel cautiously optimistic, but i think you had the most important story. we cannot let this election be stolen by people throwing voters away and throwing voters out. it's an outrage what's going on in states like florida and ohio. >> it is, and it's a marginal amount. if ohio is insisting on 300,000 people using provisional ballots and setting you will hurdles all of that makes a difference. what early results might predict who wins, what are
the president is leading in the five remaining swing states iowa wisconsin, new hampshire colorado nevada. remember some of these averages include polls from biased sources, rasmussen and public policy polling but there is nobody i'd rather to speak to than the one woman who can make sense of all of this an tell us how it's going to play out tomorrow lynn la lake, penalty of the democratic consulting firm lake research partners. she joins us from washington d.c. linda, it is like christmas eve...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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but what about states like michigan, nevada, pennsylvania, how much are they in play? especially since pennsylvania, president obama won that one, but he's not apparently taking for granted clinton will be campaigning there in his behalf? >> pennsylvania has a million more registered democrats than republicans. so it is a state that republicans have tried to contest in the last few presidential elections and have failed. but there's always sort of enough of an opportunity there that they end up making a last-minute push there. the other thing to remember is that when you're campaigning in western pennsylvania, you're hitting the tv markets in even iowa. so you do get a little bit of a t two-fer there as well. >> going to be a crazy busy couple of days for karen, for everyone. >>> the race for president is in a dead heat, so where do you think the candidates are spending a lot of their time other than ohio? there isn't another place they're spending their time. ohio, ohio, ohio. we'll go live. ...and in the tiniest details. ♪ and sometimes both. nature valley granola
but what about states like michigan, nevada, pennsylvania, how much are they in play? especially since pennsylvania, president obama won that one, but he's not apparently taking for granted clinton will be campaigning there in his behalf? >> pennsylvania has a million more registered democrats than republicans. so it is a state that republicans have tried to contest in the last few presidential elections and have failed. but there's always sort of enough of an opportunity there that they...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> see how all those states were blue? his confident predictions that john mccain was going to win all those states in 2008 were wrong in every single instance. they lost every single one of those states. even though it seemed like he was going to win all of those states the day before the election. he didn't say like he felt they were going to win. he said they have the polling data that showed they were going to win and they did not win in any of those states. this is just part of the way the game is played. it's just bluffing. and that is important context for understanding what's going on in the last four days of the campaign. there are patterns to how presidential elections end. some of the same stuff happens every four years. specifically, in 1992, the republican candidate was poppy bush. he went and campaigned in pennsylvania. and then the next day, he lost pennsylvania. the next election, 1996, bob dole. right before the election,
we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> see how all those states were blue? his confident predictions that john mccain was going to win all those states in 2008 were wrong in every single instance. they lost every single one of those states. even though it seemed like he was going to win all of those states the day before the election. he didn't say like he felt they were going to win. he said they have...